Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta McKinsey. Mostrar todas las entradas
Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta McKinsey. Mostrar todas las entradas

sábado, mayo 19, 2007

CLIMATE CHANGE: U.S. Climate Bill Unlikely Before Bush Term Ends

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by Jim Efstathiou Jr. and Tina Seeley
Legislation to cap greenhouse gas emissions linked to global warming probably won't pass Congress before President George W. Bush leaves office, U.S. Senator Jeff Bingaman said.

``The administration has not engaged with the Congress in a meaningful way in trying to come to agreement on what should be done,'' Bingaman, a New Mexico Democrat who chairs the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, said in an interview. ``So you've got one hand clapping here with regard to climate change'' as lawmakers work on legislation, he said.

At least five bills have been introduced in Congress that would place mandatory limits on carbon dioxide and other emissions linked to global warming. Bingaman is drafting a measure with Pennsylvania Republican Arlen Specter that would cap emissions and create a system to trade emission allowances.

While Bush's energy secretary, Samuel Bodman, said earlier this year that human activity is contributing to global warming, he said the administration still opposes mandatory emissions caps. Greenhouse gases can be cut with voluntary measures on the part of utilities and greater use of biofuels, according to Bush.

Since taking control of Congress this year, Democrats have drafted bills that would boost energy efficiency standards for home appliances, raise automobile fuel economy and require that utilities use some renewable fuel to generate electricity.

``There's been a failure of leadership in Washington on these issues the last six years,'' Bingaman said. ``Most of the world has moved ahead more aggressively in these areas. Most of the American public is substantially ahead of where the Congress and the administration are.''

Bush Administration
U.S. companies including General Electric Co., Dupont Co., and ConocoPhillips this year endorsed mandatory federal limits on greenhouse gases and an allowance trading system to make implementation more efficient.

``To say that the administration is not engaged is false,'' said Kristen Hellmer, a spokeswoman for the White House Council on Environmental Quality. ``We've got dozens of programs -- mandatory programs, tax incentives, international relationships -- all aimed at developing the best technologies to reduce emissions.''

Bingaman held open the possibility that Bush might sign a bill that creates mandatory emissions limits if it reached his desk with support from Congressional Republicans.

``Depending on what it looked like, there might be a lot of pressure on the President to go ahead and agree to it,'' Bingaman said, ``The President, at the end of eight years in office, would not want his final official act to be vetoing climate change legislation that his own party had somewhat embraced.''

Unions
Labor unions have also warmed to the concept of mandatory carbon caps. Reversing course, the 70,000-member International Brotherhood of Boilermakers this week endorsed Bingaman's approach to climate change legislation in a letter to the senator last week.

Bingaman's proposal, ``takes an important first step toward ecological sustainability without imposing unreasonable economic costs that would result in significant job loss,'' Bridget Martin, director of government affairs for the Kansas City-based labor group, said in the letter.

The boilermakers' union said any climate change legislation should penalize China, India and other developing economies if they fail to cap greenhouse gas emissions. By 2010, demand for cars and appliances will help China overtake the U.S. and Europe as the largest emitter of carbon dioxide, according to a McKinsey & Co. study.

``Labor is a key constituency for many members of Congress, and has been traditionally concerned about issue of economic competitiveness and fairness to working families,'' said Paul Bledsoe, a spokesman for the National Commission on Energy Policy, which has drafted policy recommendations on climate change legislation.

viernes, marzo 30, 2007

EUROPA: Prevenir el cambio climático en la UE cuesta un billón de euros

Un estudio alemán ha cifrado en un billón de euros el coste de las medidas para la prevención del cambio climático en la Unión Europea durante los próximos 14 años, según informa el diario "The Guardian".

El informe, titulado "A Cost Curve for Greenhouse Gas Reduction (Curva de gastos para la reducción de gases de efecto invernadero)" ha sido realizado por los expertos de la sede alemana de la consultoría McKinsey, y ofrece un desglose detallado del coste potencial de cada una de las medidas para la reducción de las emisiones de CO2 en los diferentes sectores de la economía, desde el forestal al del transporte.

Estos expertos creen que es posible conseguir el objetivo europeo de recortar las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero en un 20% de aquí a 2020, pero que será necesario un importante esfuerzo técnico, financiero y político y calculan que el coste de esas medidas para el conjunto de la UE será de entre 60.000 y 80.000 millones de euros anuales durante los próximos 14 años.

El documento recomienda que se adopten en primer lugar las medidas más baratas y efectivas para el medio ambiente, como el uso de bombillas de bajo consumo y energía eólica, que serían capaces de una reducción del 75% en las emisiones de CO2.

También propone mejorar el aislamiento de los edificios, que según la investigación puede lograr un ahorro de 150 euros por cada tonelada de dióxido de carbono reducida, con respecto a medidas más caras, como la captura y el almacenamiento del CO2 generado por los combustibles fósiles En opinión de estos expertos, la UE debería dar prioridad a la mejora de la gestión de la industria forestal, con lo que se podrían ahorrar unos 7.000 millones de toneladas de emisiones de dióxido de carbono de aquí a 2030, en vez de a la reducción de los gases de efecto invernadero de la industria de generación de energía eléctrica, donde el ahorro previsto es de 6.000 millones de toneladas.

Los países en vías de desarrollo, que generan la mitad de las emisiones de CO2 evitables, son los que plantean un mayor reto, según la investigación, y su mayor aportación la constituirán las medidas para frenar la deforestación, ya que no cuentan con recursos económicos para la instalación de bombillas de tecnologías para la protección del medio ambiente como la instalación generalizada de bombillas de bajo consumo.

Los autores del informe se muestran optimistas y creen que es posible recortar las emisiones de dióxido de carbono mundiales en 27.000 millones de toneladas de aquí a 2030, cantidad necesaria según las investigaciones científicas para frenar el calentamiento global.

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